Hurricane Michael heads to Carolinas

The category-4 storm, Hurricane Michael is now headed to the Carolinas after swirling and pummelling Florida and Georgia.

Background

Hurricane Michael originated from a broad low-pressure area in the western Caribbean Sea that became a tropical depression on October 7. By the next day, Michael had intensified into a hurricane near the western tip of Cuba as it moved northward. It continued to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico, first to a major hurricane on October 9, and further to a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

While approaching the Florida Panhandle, Michael attained peak winds of 155 mph (250 km/h) as it made landfall near Mexico Beach on October 10, becoming the first to do so in the region as a Category 4 hurricane.

Analysis

Hurricane Michael is far from finished, after slamming Florida and Georgia it is now headed to the northeast threatening the Carolinas.

Hurricane Michael, the fiercest storm to hit Florida in more than 80 years and the third-most powerful ever to strike the U.S. mainland. It has battered the state’s Gulf coast with roof-shredding winds, raging surf and torrential rains.

The governors of North and South Carolina urged residents to brace for more heavy rain and tropical storm-force winds as Michael ploughs northward up the Atlantic seaboard.

Incidentally, a powerful and long-lived hurricane, the first in the year hit the Caroline region in September 2018. The National Hurricane Centre has warned that the storm would pass through the Carolinas on Thursday, dumping as much as 8 inches of rain in some areas. 

Assessment

Our assessment is that the Carolinas will be relatively prepared for the impact of Michael as hurricane Florence hit the region just a month ago. We also feel that the devastation that will be caused by Michael will be comparatively lesser to Florence as a storm significantly weakens over time.